Pandemic cases hit 1.5 million

ECDC: Too Soon to Relax Restrictions
As of yesterday, about almost half of all cases (608,500) in the COVID-19 pandemic have come from European countries, where the virus has claimed more than 51,000 lives, the ECDC said. Large increases continue to be reported, but illnesses and deaths have decreased slightly in a few. The ECDC warned that the true scope isn’t known and that the patterns should be interpreted with caution, because many countries are only testing severe or hospitalized patients.

So far, there’s no let-up on the pandemic’s strain on health and social systems, and shortages persist for lab testing, personal protective equipment, and medical staff. In European countries with available data, the percentage of healthcare workers among COVID-19 cases ranges from 9% to 26%. The ECDC added that reports of outbreaks in nursing homes across Europe are increasing, underscoring the vulnerability of older people in the settings and the need for infection prevention and control measures to protect them.

The risk of severe disease for the general population is moderate and very high for people who have risk factors. And even with mitigation steps in place, the risk of increased community transmission is moderate and the risk of overrun health and social care systems is high, the ECDC said.

Evidence from earlier-affected Asian countries and early evidence from Italy and Austria show that a mix of strong steps can meaningfully reduce transmission. And though the mitigation steps are disruptive on many levels, lifting the interventions too quickly could keep sustained transmission going, and based on current evidence, it’s too early to start lifting all community and distancing measures, the ECDC said.

It recommends that countries have testing and surveillance systems in place to guide and monitor the escalation and de-escalation of mitigation strategies.

Europe Cases Continue at High Numbers
CIDRP reports that Illness level surges continued in many European countries yesterday, and in Italy, after a few days of declining cases, the daily total increased yesterday with 3,836 new cases, though the daily fatality number declined.

In Spain, where deaths had been declining, the daily fatality number rose yesterday for the second day in a row, with 757 more reported. The health ministry said overall, the rate of new infections is slowing and that the country has increased its testing capacity. The government also said shortages of intensive care beds and equipment has improved, Agence France-Presse reported.

The United Kingdom yesterday reported a record number hospital deaths from COVID-19, 938, for a total of 7,097, the BBC reported. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson is still in intensive care unit (ICU) treatment, but is improving, according to the BBC.

In France, the country with the fourth highest number of cases, President Macron yesterday announced that the country’s lockdown, originally slated to end Apr 15, will be extended, France 24 reported. The country’s health minister said the measures have slowed disease transmission over the past days and noted that he hoped that the country would flatten its curve, though the plateau is at a very high level.

China Locks Down Town on Russian Border
A spurt of new imported infections in the Chinese city of Suifenhe, in the northeast part of the country on the border with Russia, resulted in a lockdown similar to one that just ended in Wuhan, Reuters reported.

China and other earlier affected countries face a high risk of a second wave of infections, which is already occurring to some degree in locations such as Hong Kong and Singapore, especially as countries start relaxing restrictions.

China’s National Health Commission yesterday reported 62 new cases, 59 of them imported. Of the three local cases, two are from Shandong province and one is from Guangdong province. It also reported 137 asymptomatic cases, 102 of them imported.

Hong Kong yesterday reported 25 new cases (up from 21 yesterday), 15 of them with a travel history, according to the Centre for Health Protection. And Singapore reported 142 new cases, up from 106 yesterday, of which 2 were imported and 68 were linked to known clusters or patients.

In other developments:

·  India is considering narrowing its lockdown to just the hotspot areas such as Mumbai and may extend its measures until the end of the month

·  Cases in the WHO’s African region have topped 10,000 from 52 countries, the regional office said yesterday, adding that the outbreak started in capital cities and has now spread to multiple provinces in a significant number of countries.