What Went Wrong with Texas’ Power Grid?

Hodge: Rolling blackout means you’re turning off the power supply to certain areas but you’re doing it in a staggered manner so that you can still supply some power to people without turning off power for everybody. If Texas hadn’t done those rolling blackouts, then the entire grid would have collapsed and no one would have had power. If your entire grid turns off, it is very, very difficult to turn it back on. 

Simpkins: Texas operates its own power grid mostly in isolation from other states. How is this different from other states’ energy grids?
Baker: Most other states in the contiguous U.S. are much more interconnected than Texas is. This means that during extreme weather situations, or if a power plant in one state can’t operate, that state can generally pull power in from its neighbors to help out. However, if there’s a large-scale cold front or heat wave, for instance, many states in that area may be affected by similar strains on generation. It’s unclear how much the neighboring states of Texas could have supplied during these cold temperatures, even if Texas was more connected to them, but it likely wouldn’t have hurt.

Simpkins: Did the Texas grid fail due to renewable energy sources like frozen wind turbines?
Baker: Most of the affected generation was related to fossil fuel plants, especially natural gas. Frozen wind turbines only had a relatively small impact on the lack of power generation and do not accurately describe an extremely complex and nuanced series of events and factors that occurred.

Hodge: In Texas, they don’t weatherize their natural gas plants and they also don’t tend to have blade de-icers on their wind turbines but this is a very common technology used in colder places like Minnesota and Finland. There were some wind turbines in Texas that had what is known as “blade icing events” where ice builds up on the blades of the turbine and then they can’t turn. But there was actually quite a bit of wind power being produced during these times. 

Simpkins: Could renewable energy sources actually help keep the power on in future weather crises?
Baker: Renewable energy sources generally don’t rely on fuel, so they’re not going to be affected by pipelines freezing or getting damaged. Solar panels can work in very cold temperatures, which is why we’re considering them as a potential energy source on Mars which gets below -100 Fahrenheit! Wind can produce in both hot and cold temperatures. In weather events where power lines are damaged, renewables can potentially help even further because things like rooftop solar are local sources of power. Renewable energy like wind and solar really have significant benefits under extreme temperatures and can safely be both local and centralized sources of generation.

Simpkins: What can we learn from this significant power failure to prevent situations like this from happening again?
Baker: Winterizing energy infrastructure obviously results in increased costs, but these extreme weather events are going to become more and more common and it will likely be worth the investment. Hot temperatures also pose many problems for thermoelectric power plants that rely on large quantities of water for cooling and producing steam, like coal and nuclear plants. More energy storage and demand flexibility will also be key to helping prevent future blackouts.

Hodge: In our planning for power systems, we have to start anticipating that we will see more events like this, and we need to plan for those to happen. We need to start building the uncertainty that climate change induces into all these power system planning models. We also need to start better valuing the ability to provide service in times when others can’t—putting a higher price on the reliability and resilience of the grid. You might pay a little bit more every day so that when an event like this happens, you still have uninterrupted power.