WORLD ROUNDUPViktor Orbán Could Actually Lose | Taiwan’s Political Crisis Is a Security Nightmare | China Took a More Active Role in Iran War, and more

Viktor Orbán Could Actually Lose  (Isaac Stanley-Becker, The Atlantic)
The Hungarian leader faces an energized opposition—and questions about whether he would accept defeat.

Growing List of Orban Loyalists Defecting Before Critical Election  (Andrew Higgins and Lili Rutai, New York Times)
With Prime Minister Viktor Orban seeming vulnerable before Sunday’s vote, criticism is growing from within institutions his party once counted on for support.

U.S. Intelligence Shows China Taking a More Active Role in Iran War  (Mark MazzettiEric Schmitt and Julian E. Barnes, New York Times)
China may have shipped missiles to Iran, and Beijing is allowing some companies to sell Tehran supplies that can be used in military production, American officials said.

Recriminations Over Iran Have Heightened the Risk of a Break-up of NATO  (Economist)
Europe must prepare to defend itself.

A Ceasefire Will Not Prevent the Iran War’s Economic Harm  (Economist)
Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, expect lasting change to energy markets.

Taiwan’s Political Crisis Is a Security Nightmare  (Bonnie S. Glaser and Jennifer Lan, Foreign Policy)
Government paralysis is freezing budgets and wrecking public trust.