WORLD ROUNDUPChinese Hegemony Might Be Happening | Iran Retains Substantial Missile Capabilities | AI Creates a Fearsome Cold-War-Style Dilemma, and more

Chinese Hegemony Might Be Happening  (Stephen M. Walt, Foreign Policy)
There were always reasons to doubt it was a real possibility—until now.

U.S. Intelligence Shows Iran Retains Substantial Missile Capabilities  (Adam EntousMaggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan, New York Times)
Secret new assessments say Iran has operational access to 30 of its 33 missile sites along the Strait of Hormuz, suggesting that its military remains far stronger than President Trump has asserted.

The Other Border Problem: How Russia and China’s Lawfare Threaten the Arctic  (Jill Goldenziel, Kathy Paradis, and Kathryn Bryk Friedman, War on the Rocks)
Russia isn’t just building up its military in the Arctic. It’s rewriting the legal rulebook while everyone’s looking the other way.

Ankara’s Crossroads: Rearmament, Risk, and the Prospect of War with Israel  (Ryan Gingeras, War on the Rocks)
Steel Dome, Turkey’s answer to Iron Dome, won’t be fully operational until 2030. In the Middle East right now, that’s a lifetime away.

AI Creates a Fearsome Cold-War-Style Dilemma  (Economist)
America and China are weighing co-operation and competition.

China Is Pushing Donald Trump for Concessions on Taiwan  (Economist)
Some in Taipei and Washington fear he may give ground.