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ELECTION INTGERITYU.S. Adversaries Step Up Efforts to Influence Results of Next Election
Russia, Iran and China are ramping up efforts to impact the outcome of the U.S. presidential election and down-ballot races, targeting American voters with an expanding array of sophisticated influence operations.
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ELECTION INTEGRITYProtecting Voters and Election Workers from Armed Intimidation
Although the United States is no stranger to political violence, our elections in the 21st century have been safe and secure. Rare events of violence closely covered by the media, but in reality, voter suppression by intimidation is much more likely to occur. While guns have rarely been used in elections to commit violent acts, they are increasingly being wielded as tools of intimidation.
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EXTREMISMThe Accelerationists’ App: How Telegram Became the “Center of Gravity” for a New Breed of Domestic Terrorists
From attempting to incite racially motivated violence to encouraging attacks on critical infrastructure, the alleged crimes planned and advertised by extremists on Telegram go far beyond the charges facing CEO Pavel Durov.
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TRUTH DECAYSocial Media Manipulation in the Era of AI
China is not the only U.S. adversary exploring the potential propaganda gold mine that AI has opened. But China provides a useful case study, in part because its disinformation efforts seem to be getting bolder.
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ECONOMIC SECURITYGetting Economic Security Right
National security policymakers are understandably worried about economic risks, but they shouldn’t lose sight of other national interests.
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GUNSThe Country’s Biggest Ghost Gun Manufacturer Has Shuttered
As its products increasingly turned up at crime scenes, Polymer80 drew scrutiny from law enforcement and policymakers.
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TORNADOESAs Tornado Alley Shifts East, Bracing for Impact in Unexpected Places
Experts say the causes are still unclear, but the change is consistent with a warming world. The effects on the ground could be devastating.
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OUR PICKSRussia Secretly Worms Its Way into America’s Conservative Media | The Information Wars Are About to Get Worse | These Are the Asteroids That Scare Scientists. Are We Prepared for Them?, and more
· Russia Secretly Worms Its Way into America’s Conservative Media
Federal prosecutors say Russia paid an American media company to push pro-Kremlin messages from social media influencers including Benny Johnson, Tim Pool and Dave Rubin· If a Threat Is Not a Crime, Can the Police Prevent a School Shooting?
Officers are limited in their response to a possible threat of violence, but they are being trained to identify and monitor worrisome behavior earlier· How Telegram Became a Playground for Criminals, Extremists and Terrorists
Drug dealers, scammers and white nationalists openly conduct business and spread toxic speech on the platform, according to a Times analysis of more than 3.2 million Telegram messages· These Are the Asteroids That Scare Scientists. Are We Prepared for Them?
Global cooperation is, unsurprisingly for a threat that comes from the stars, essential· The Information Wars Are About to Get Worse, Yuval Noah Harari Argues
The author of “Sapiens” is back with a timely new book about AI, fact and fiction -
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WORLD ROUNDUPWhat’s Next for Britain and the EU? | Inside Libya, the Mafia State Driving Europe’s Migrant Crisis | Who Is Sahra Wagenknecht, Germany’s Kremlin-Friendly Kingmaker?
· Inside Libya, the Mafia State Driving Europe’s Migrant Crisis
A trafficker’s life and death has highlighted the blurry line between militias and a corrupt government· How Israel Learned to Fight Hamas Deep Under Ground
The 300 miles of tunnels beneath Gaza form a remarkable subterranean world – and call for military tactics never attempted before· Who Is Sahra Wagenknecht, Germany’s Kremlin-Friendly Kingmaker?
From GDR activist to leader of the new left, the divisive figure wants her country to stop arming Ukraine — and she has just had success in German elections· Deadly and Out of Control: Migration Adviser’s Verdict on German System
Gerald Knaus demands reform after a senior official suggested asylum seekers could be sent to sites in Rwanda abandoned by Britain· What’s Next for Britain and the EU?
Brexit’s economic toll is now clear. But the path forward is murky -
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TERRORISMMunich Shooting at Israeli Consulate, Police Suspect Terror
Investigators in Munich believe the incident was likely an attempted terrorist attack. Police shot and killed a man who had fired on them with a rifle near the Israeli Consulate and a Nazi-era museum in the city.
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SEMICONDUCTORSDefense Department Should Secure Access to Advanced Semiconductor Technologies
A new, multipronged strategy is needed for the U.S. Department of Defense to secure access to advanced semiconductor technologies, one of the agency’s defining challenges, says a new report. DOD should invest in leap-ahead semiconductor technologies, work to reshore production capabilities, and strengthen industry and interagency engagement, says a new report.
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PANDEMICSPreparing for a Pandemic That Never Came Ended Up Setting Off Another − How an Accidental Virus Release Triggered 1977’s ‘Russian Flu’
Overreaction. Unintended consequences. Making matters worse. Self-fulfilling prophecy. There is a rich variety of terms to describe how the best intentions can go awry. Still reeling from COVID-19, the world now faces new threats from cross-species jumps of avian flu viruses, mpox viruses and others. It’s critical that we be quick to respond to these emerging threats to prevent yet another global disease conflagration. Quick, but not too quick, history suggests.
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VACCINESNew Method Developed to Detect Fake Vaccines in Supply Chains
The global population is increasingly reliant on vaccines to maintain population health with billions of doses used annually in immunization programs worldwide. The vast majority of vaccines are of excellent quality. However, a rise in substandard and falsified vaccines threaten global public health. Unfortunately, there is currently no global infrastructure in place to monitor supply chains using screening methods developed to identify ineffective vaccines.
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WILDFIRESAI Technology and Self-Coordinating Drones to Detect and Investigate Wildfires
Engineers have developed a swarm of self-coordinating drones for firefighting, as part of an effort to develop cost-effective early mitigation strategies for wildfires.
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ENERGY SECURITYScientists Seek to Invent a Safe, Reliable, and Cheap Battery for Electricity Grids
How do you store electricity in a way that is large and powerful enough to support the electric grid, as well as reliable, safe, environmentally sustainable, and inexpensive? Scientists are seeking to overcome the major limitations of a battery by using water as the primary component of its electrolyte.
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OUR PICKSWhy Super Typhoons Are More Common Than You’d Think | Russia Aimed Propaganda at Gamers, Minorities to Swing 2024 Election | How to Slow the Spread of Lethal AI, and more
· AI-Fakes Detection Is Failing Voters in the Global South
With generative AI affecting politics worldwide, researchers face a “detection gap,” as the biases built into systems mean tools for identifying fake content often work poorly or not at all in the Global South· Why Super Typhoons Like Yagi Are More Common Than You’d Think
Unlike in the Atlantic, there is little to stop high-intensity storms forming in Southeast Asia, and climate change is making conditions even more perilous· DOJ: Russia Aimed Propaganda at Gamers, Minorities to Swing 2024 Election
Newly unsealed court documents reveal in unprecedented detail a campaign called the Good Old USA Project, which Russian authorities believed could impact the US election· How to Slow the Spread of Lethal AI
Today, it is far too easy for reckless and malicious actors to get their hands on the most advanced and potentially lethal machine-learning algorithms· From Istanbul to El Paso: How Smugglers Enable Illegal Migrant Crossings
How Turkish migrants are managing to enter the U.S. illegally -
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WORLD ROUNDUPA Make-or-Break Moment for Mexico | What Really Went Wrong in Eastern Germany | Patrolling for Taiwan Deterrence, and more
· A Make-or-Break Moment for Mexico
In America’s biggest trading partner the rule of law and democracy are under attack· Turmoil Awaits Michel Barnier, France’s New Prime Minister
The left rages that the recent parliamentary election has been stolen· What Really Went Wrong in Eastern Germany
Both sides of formerly divided Germany share blame for the region’s turn to the far right· How Did a Minority of Israelis Come to Wield So Much Power?
Just 1 in 10 voters support the far right, which shapes key policies· Patrolling for Taiwan Deterrence
By re-establishing the Taiwan Patrol Force, the United States can conduct more frequent and more regular sea and air patrols throughout the straits -
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ELECTION INTEGRITYUS Seeks to Reassure Voters That Presidential Election Will Be Safe
Top U.S. election security officials are asking American voters to tune out the noise and reject what they describe as unfounded claims that the coming presidential election will be rigged. The effort to reassure voters follows the U.S. intelligence community’s warning that U.S. adversaries, led by Russia, Iran and China, are seeking to meddle with the November election. These adversaries have been conducting influence operations or disinformation campaigns designed to sow doubt about the U.S. election process.
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ELECTION INTEGRITYNo, Local Election Officials Can’t Block Certification of Results – There Are Plenty of Legal Safeguards
Some local election officials have refused to certify election results in the past few years, and worries abound that election officials might subvert the results of the 2024 presidential election by refusing to certify the results. But there isn’t one weird trick to steal a presidential election. And there are ample safeguards to ensure ballots are tabulated accurately and election results are certified in a timely manner.
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CHINA WATCHAide to Cuomo, Hochul Was a Chinese Agent
In a 65-page federal indictment unsealed last week, prosecutor described how Linda Sun, 40, of Manhasset, Long Island, who worked for the NY State government for 14 years, serving as an aide to New York’s former governor Andrew Cuomo and current governor Kathy Hochul, received money and other benefits in exchange for providing help to the Peoples’s Republic of China and its Communist Party.
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MASS DEPORTATIONTrump Could Do a Mass Deportation. We’ve Done It Before.
Historical examples suggest that enacting forced relocation, internment, and deportation is nowhere near the longshot many experts believe. In a second term, the biggest challenge for Trump’s mass-deportation agenda would likely not be legal — the courts cannot be counted on to stand in his way— but logistical and monetary.
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ENCRYPTIONToward a Code-Breaking Quantum Computer
Building on a landmark algorithm, researchers propose a way to make a smaller and more noise-tolerant quantum factoring circuit for cryptography.
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The long view
ARGUMENT: ELECTION INTERFERENCEThe Hacking of the Trump Campaign Is 2016 All Over Again
Hackers affiliated with the intelligence service of a foreign county hack the campaign of a candidate for the U.S. presidency, scoop damaging material, and disseminate it to reporters. This describes both the 2016 hacking of the Clinton campaign by Russian hackers, and the 2024 hacking of the Trump campaign by Iranian hackers. But there are differences: In 2016, “The press seized on the hacked emails,” Quinta Jurecic writes, “and the Trump campaign capitalized exuberantly on Russia’s involvement in the election.” Trump called on Russia to do even more. Now, the press has behaved more responsibly, and “Kamala Harris has not yet weighed in on the campaign trail with any winking suggestions that Iran might want to continue rummaging around in the Trump campaign’s systems.”
DEMOCRACY WATCHHow AI Bots Spread Misinformation Online and Undermine Democratic Politics
By Sophia Melanson Ricciardone
As we navigate this era of digital discourse, awareness of blind spots in our social psychology is our best defense. Understanding how cues or triggers affect us can reduce their influence over time. The more aware we are of bots and how they work, the more able we are to protect ourselves from misleading rhetoric, ensuring our democratic processes remain robust and inclusive.
SURVEILLANCEData Privacy After Dobbs: Is Period Tracking Safe?
By Paige Gross
Many people think all health care information is protected under the federal privacy law, known as HIPAA. But menstrual cycle tracking apps, along with other health care technologies, like texting platforms that patients can use with doctors, are not. There haven’t been any cases where a menstrual tracking app’s data has been subpoenaed yet, but that’s probably due to the slow speed of which cases proceed through the court system.
AI & PRIVACYStates Strike Out on Their Own on AI, Privacy Regulation
By Paige Gross
There’s been no shortage of AI tech regulation bills in Congress, but none has passed. In the absence of congressional action, states have stepped up their own regulatory action. States have been legislating about AI since at least 2019, but bills relating to AI have increased significantly in the last two years.
CYBERSECURITYFrom Iron Dome to Cyber Dome: Defending Israel’s Cyberspace
By Rohit Kumar Sharma
In response to growing attacks against its infrastructure by formidable adversaries like Iran and its proxies, Israel recently announced that they are building a ‘cyber-dome’ or a digital ‘Iron Dome’ system to protect Israel’s cyberspace to defend against online attacks.
CRITICAL MINERALSNot Just Beijing’s Doing: Market Factors Are Also Hitting Rare Earths Prices
By David Uren
Have depressed rare earths prices been engineered by the Chinese state to snuff out non-Chinese rivals before they get going? Or do they simply reflect a weak market, with demand rising more slowly than was expected by the promotors of a slew of new projects?
RESILIENCEThe Case for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure
By Renée Cho
Climate change is making weather harder to predict, and creating new risks in places that never faced them before. And as hurricanes, floods, extreme heat and wildfires intensify, most infrastructure will need to be retrofitted or designed and built anew for future climate resilience.
CRITICAL MINERALSQuantifying Global Earthquake Risk to Mineral Supplies
Earthquakes could impact the supplies of mineral commodities like copper and rhenium around the world. A new scientific mechanism for assessing the potential risk to worldwide mineral commodity supplies from seismic activity has been developed by USGS scientists.
FLOODSNationwide Flood Models Poorly Reflect Risks to Households and Properties, Study Finds
Government agencies, insurance companies and disaster planners rely on national flood risk models from the private sector that aren’t reliable at smaller levels such as neighborhoods and individual properties.
ASSASSINATIONS & ASSASINATION ATTEMPTSList of Assassinations and Attempted Assassinations of Presidents, Presidential Candidates
Assassinations of presidents and attempts to assassinate presidents and those campaigning for the office have been a feature of American history since 1776.
EXTREMISMMilitia Extremists, Kicked Off Facebook Again, Are Regaining Comfort in Public View
By Amy Cooter
When journalists sounded alarm bells in early May 2024 that more than 100 extremist militia groups had been organizing and communicating on Facebook, it wasn’t the first time militias had garnered attention for their online activities. As a scholar of militias, I’ve seen extremists get kicked off Facebook before.
IMMIGRATIONThe Manufactured Crisis of Migrant Terrorists at the Border
By Alex Nowrasteh
Politicians and pundits have given rise to a flood of rhetoric about terrorists exploiting border chaos to harm Americans. But exaggerated threats of terrorists crossing the southern border lead to costly, disproportionate policy decisions.
EXTREMISMWhat Do Anti-Jewish Hate, Anti-Muslim Hate Have in Common?
By Christy DeSmith
Researchers scrutinize various facets of these types of bias, and note sometimes they both reside within the same person.
TRUTH DECAYMore Feelings of Misinformation, More News Avoidance
As people have more difficulty distinguishing fact from fiction in the United States, they are more likely to feel news fatigue and avoid news altogether, according to a new study. More than an unintentional avoidance because of lack of media exposure, the researchers say people actively avoid news.
TRUTH DECAYCan Wikipedia-like Citations on YouTube Curb Misinformation?
By Stefan Milne
Videos can be dense with information: text, audio, and image after image. Yet each of these layers presents a potential source of error or deceit. And when people search for videos directly on a site like YouTube, sussing out which videos are credible sources can be tricky.
ELECTION INTEGRITYStates Struggle with Unreliable Federal Funding for Making Sure Elections Are Secure
By Jennifer Shutt
The federal government has sought to bolster election security for years through a popular grant program, but the wildly fluctuating funding levels have made it difficult for state officials to plan their budgets and their projects.