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TERRORISMAfghan Terrorism Is a Small Threat in the United States
It is still not clear whether Rahmanullah Lakanwal, who murdered a West Virginia National Guard member in Washington, D.C., two weeks ago, was a terrorist – but assuming he is a terrorist, it would mean that since 1975, Lakanwal is the only Afghan terrorist to have murdered somebody on U.S. soil in an attack. In other words, the annual chance of being murdered in an Afghan terrorist attack on U.S. soil is about 1 in 14.2 billion per year. The annual chance of being murdered in a normal homicide is about 1 in 14,000 per year, approximately one million times greater.
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IMMIGRTIONTrump Administration’s Immigrant Detention Policy Broadly Rejected by Federal Judges
In response to the Trump administration’s practice of rounding up and jailing immigrants without a hearing — a departure from fundamental constitutional protections — federal judges have systematically rejected the administration’s attempt to drastically expand who can be locked up without a hearing while awaiting deportation proceedings.
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DEMOCRACY WATCHThe First MAGA National Security Strategy
Trump’s ideologically driven statement of strategic intent indicates that the United States could be willing to interfere abroad to promote an illiberal world—a stunning victory for the MAGA wing of the Republican Party.
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DEMOCRACY WATCHThe Rise of the Far-Right in Japan
Sohei Kamiya’s far-right populist Sanseito captured 14 seats (in addition to a previously existing seat) in the July 2025 elections to the House of Councilors, the Upper House of the Japanese Diet. The Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, along with its defining policy approaches and worldview, has found resonance among certain sections of the electorate in Japan.
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DIGITAL IDThe UK Has It Wrong on Digital ID. Here’s Why.
In late September, the U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced his government’s plans to introduce a new digital ID scheme in the country to take effect before the end of the Parliament (no later than August 2029). This is the latest example of a government creating a new digital system that is fundamentally incompatible with a privacy-protecting and human rights-defending democracy.
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NUCLEAR SAFETYProtecting Next-Gen Reactors
As the United States accelerates deployment of advanced and small modular reactors (A/SMRs), the nuclear energy sector is embracing a digital future. While digital systems provide operators with big benefits, they can also create vulnerabilities that enable criminals to access critical infrastructure.
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ELECTION SECURITYVoting by Mail Faces Uncertain Moment Ahead of Midterm Elections
Across the United States, voting by mail faces a moment of uncertainty ahead of the midterm elections next year, as the U.S. Supreme Court could require all mail ballots to arrive by Election Day.
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AIA Prisoner’s Dilemma in the Race to Artificial General Intelligence
A new report from RAND aims to represent the ongoing policy debate on the race to artificial general intelligence (AGI) in a mathematically neutral model which allows policymakers to compare the outcome of alternative strategies in international technology competition.
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CYBERSECURITYUniversity of Central Florida’s Tinley Park MHC secures top spot at the 2025 DOE CyberForce Competition
The University of Central Florida’s Tinley Park MHC proved victorious in DOE’s CyberForce Competition, valiantly defending a simulated cyberattack on an offshore oil rig’s control system. The competition challenges students to solve real-world cybersecurity problems, focusing on protecting the nation’s energy systems.
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COUNTER-DRONE TECHCapturing Rogue Drones
A new system is capable of repelling and capturing unauthorized drones. The defensive system’s own drones are equipped with an extendable net which snags unruly drones.
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LESSONS OF THE VIETNAM FAILUREBookshelf: War Lessons from Robert McNamara
Robert McNamara was the architect of the wasteful, unwinnable U.S. involvement in Vietnam. In retrospect, he stressed the importance of understanding local conditions and having an exit strategy: “Before each operation there should be a paper on how to get out. And if you can’t get out, don’t do it.” As the administration is considering expanding its questionable military efforts in the Caribbean into an invasion of Venezuela, it would do well to heed McNamara’s advice.
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FORENSICSScientists Pioneer Breakthrough Fingerprint Forensic Test
For decades, investigators have struggled to recover fingerprints from weapons because any biological trace is usually destroyed by the high temperatures, friction and gas released after a gun is fired. Scientists have developed a method to recover fingerprints from ammunition casing, once thought nearly impossible.
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QUOTE OF THE DAYThreats to Public Health
“Members of the medical and scientific community who have long supported an active government role in health issues likely never expected that a controversial figure like Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.—who has often made unsubstantiated claims about vaccine safety, environmental toxins, and food additives, and has fueled public fears leading to a drop in childhood vaccination rates—would become the leader of the country’s public health system.”
— Jeffrey A. Singer, “Breaking the Government’s Grip on Medical Debate,” CATO Institute
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TARGETING SCIENCEEPA’s Climate Science Erasure
The EPA has removed scientific data and climate change information from the agency’s webpages, including all references to the contribution of human activities to climate change. The EPA also removed critical research evaluating the risks that climate change poses to the health of Americans, and to the impact of global warming on the U.S. economy through the intensification of natural disasters such as droughts, extreme precipitation, and wildfires.
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OUR PICKSMilitary Competition in Space Will Intensify | Microsoft Needs to Untangle Itself from Beijing | AI Is About to Transform Nuclear Energy, and more
· Military Competition in Space Will Intensify
· When Leaders Mistake Brutality for Strength
· Dan Bongino Admits to Lying During His Pundit Days
· Must the Military Disobey Unlawful Orders? Pam Bondi Has Said Yes.
· The EPA Is Wiping Mention of Human-Caused Climate Change from Its Website
· AI Is About to Transform Nuclear Energy, and the United States Isn’t Ready
· Microsoft Needs to Untangle Itself from Beijing
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WORLD ROUNDUPWhat Would Teddy Roosevelt Think of the “Trump Corollary”? | Japan’s Efforts to Wean Itself Off Chinese Rare Earths | Vietnam Tries to Escape the U.S.-China Trap, and more
· Trump Calls Europe “Decaying” Group of Nations with Weak Leaders
· Why Trump’s “America First” Security Strategy Is Misguided, and Dangerous
· It’s Time Europe Got to Grips with the MAGA Challenge
· The Neocons Were Right
· Trump’s Team Sees Europe’s “Erasure.” Europeans See a Hostile U.S.
· What Would Teddy Roosevelt Think of the “Trump Corollary”?
· China Knows How to Punish Countries That Offend It
· Vietnam Tries to Escape the U.S.-China Trap
· Lessons from Japan’s Efforts to Wean Itself Off Chinese Rare Earths
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MASS SHOOTINGMass Killings Hit a 20-year Low, Northeastern Data Shows — but Public Perception Hasn’t Caught Up
As 2025 winds to a close, new data show a surprising trend: this year is on track to record the fewest mass killings in two decades.
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TARGETING SCIENCECDC Advisers Drop Decades-Old Universal Hepatitis B Birth Dose Recommendation, Suggest Blood Testing After One Dose
Scientists say that hepatitis B vaccine is safe and effective, and that dropping the decades-old practice of a universal dose at birth will have only one result: hepatitis B rates and resulting liver cancer, cirrhosis, and premature death will rise among the unvaccinated or undervaccinated—whether in infancy or later in life, when unprotected adults will be vulnerable to infection.
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TARGETING SCIENCEAluminum in Vaccines: Separating RFK Jr.’s Claims from Scientific Evidence
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s belief that aluminum in vaccines can cause health issues is contradicted by scientific evidence, a fact which RFK Jr. does not allow to interfere with his campaign against vaccination. What is incontrovertible is that increasing vaccine hesitancy and reduced vaccination rates lead to more vulnerable people and more infectious diseases, illnesses, and deaths. It is important to question medical interventions, but this questioning should be informed, rational, and open.
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TRUTH DECAYNew Study Explains Why People Fall for Fake News
In a world where misinformation spreads faster than fact, a new study is offering insight into why so many people fall for fake news, even when they suspect it’s false.
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SEARCH & RESCUEUsing Smartphones to Improve Disaster Search and Rescue
When a natural disaster strikes, time is of the essence if people are trapped under rubble.When visibility is limited, sound that can penetrate through rubble is the key to finding trapped victims quickly.
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ENERGY SECURITYFuture of Geothermal in New Mexico
New Mexico is known for bringing the heat with its famous green chiles, but a new report points to another source of heat that’s causing excitement. A new report lays out the opportunities —and challenges —to harnessing the state’s geothermal resources as a reliable, sustained domestic source of energy.
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The long view
GUNSAn Analysis by The Trace of 150 U.S. Cities Shows One of the Greatest Drops in Gun Violence — Ever
By Olga Pierce for The Trace
Gun violence is trending downward for more than three quarters of cities with the most shootings, according to a new analysis by The Trace’s Gun Violence Data Hub. The downward trend cuts across red and blue cities and states in every region of the country.
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THE SHIFTING LANDSCAPECURRENTS, TRENDS, DIRECTIONS
COMMON-SENSE NOTES // By Idris B. OdunewuLaughing Through the Storm: How Humor Can Help Us Not Only Survive but Thrive in Turbulent Times
The world feels heavy again. In a time such as this, laughter can seem almost obscene. Who dares to joke while the world burns? Yet, perhaps the better question is: how can we not?
TERRORISMTechnology Evolves the Tactics: Preparing for the Rise of Terrorist AI Harms
By James Stevenson
Terrorist groups, like the societies they emerge from, adapt to new technologies. As AI capabilities evolve, so too do the tactics of extremist actors. While the full effects may take years to observe, as the technologies continue to develop, we are starting to see them directly alter extremism tradecraft.
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DEMOCRACY WATCHTrump’s National Guard Deployments Raise Worries About State Sovereignty
By Jonathan Shorman
In two instances – Portland and Chicago – President Trump’s campaign to send the National Guard into Democratic-leaning cities he falsely describes as crime-ridden, has turned to out-of-state National Guard troops. Presidents who have federalized National Guard forces in the past, even against a governor’s will, have done so in response to a crisis in the troops’ home state. But the decision to send one state’s National Guard troops into a different state without the receiving governor’s consent is both extraordinary and unprecedented, experts on national security law.
ARGUMENT: UNSUPPORTED CONCLUSIONSCorrectly Assessing Left-Wing Terrorism and Political Violence in the United States
A recent CSIS report, making sweeping claims about a supposed rise in leftwing terrorism in the United States, risks feeding false narratives about political violence and polarization. Michael Jensen and Amy Cooter write that the evidence used to sound this alarm consists of just five plots and attacks, and that these five events not only “are doing a lot of heavy lifting” in the report, but that they are given “an unwarranted level of causal and predictive power.” This tiny sample “simply does not justify inducing panic with eye-popping headlines.”
CHINA WATCHBookshelf: A Tale of American Lawyers and Chinese Engineers
By John West
The U.S. and China have fundamental differences, a new book argues. China would be an “engineering state” whereas the U.S. is a “lawyerly society.” Most Chinese Communist Party leaders have been engineers focused on building mega projects such as highways, bridges, fast trains. and airports. In recent decades the U.S. has become a “lawyerly society” as the country’s elite, dominated by lawyers, focused on procedure and process rather than getting things done.
ECONOMIC WARFAREEurope’s Banks Quietly Mobilize for Economic Warfare
By James Tennant and John James
For years, banks treated defense as a reputational issue, as well as an environmental, social and governance risk, often lumping it with tobacco or fossil fuels as something to be managed at arm’s length. That era is ending. Russia’s war in Ukraine, China’s coercive trade tactics and the United States’ pressure on Europe to shoulder more of its defense burden have exposed the limits of moralistic restraint. Financial mobilization is the new norm.
UNILTERAL DISARMAMENT What Just Happened? Dismantling the Intelligence Community’s Foreign Malign Influence Center
By David Salvo
Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard announced that the functions of the intelligence community’s Foreign Malign Influence Center (FMIC) would be significantly reduced. Gabbard has thus dismantled the last remaining U.S. federal government organ dedicated to tracking and analyzing state-sponsored efforts to interfere in U.S. institutions, elections, and society – following the Trump administration’s shutting down of related units at the State Department, Department of Homeland Security, FBI, and Department of Justice earlier this year.
UNILTERAL DISARMAMENT Silencing America’s Voice
The Trump administration has taken a series of steps which have substantially weakened U.S. government-funded media outlets whose task it was to tell the American story and counter the global propaganda and disinformation efforts of U.S. adversaries. These moves greatly benefit the anti-American propaganda efforts of Russia and China, which will now go unchallenged.
CRITICAL MINERALSA New Generation of Industries Emerges in Texas as Feds Push to Mine More Rare Minerals
By Dylan Baddour, Inside Climate News
The U.S. doesn’t produce the minerals and metals needed for renewable energy, microchips or military technology. Major oil companies are drilling in East Texas again, but not for oil. This time, they’re after lithium for batteries and other rare elements.
CRITICAL MINERALSU.S. and Australia Deepen Critical-Minerals Engagement to Counter China
By Alice Wai
Engagement between Australia and the United States on critical minerals has matured from technical cooperation into a strategic partnership, aligning resource security with clean energy and defense priorities.
CRITICAL MINERALSBookshelf: Critical Mineral Dilemmas
By John West
Whoever controls the production and processing of lithium, copper and other critical minerals could dominate the 21st century economy, much as producers of fossil fuels defined the 20th century, writes Ernest Scheyder in a new book.
CLIMATE CHANGE & DISASTERSClimate Change Is Turning Global Wildfires into Monsters
By Hamish Clarke and Sarah Harris
Predicting bushfires is difficult at the best of times. But as climate change wreaks havoc with our world’s weather systems it’s getting harder and more important to get right. And the behavior of wildfires worldwide over the last year has shown us just how unpredictable and devastating these fires have become.


