WORLD ROUNDUPWhen AI Decides Who Lives and Dies | Countering North Korean Cybercrime and Its Enablers | Climate Change and Military Power, and more

Published 4 May 2024

·  US Accuses Russia of Using Chemical Weapons Against Ukraine
Washington says banned substances including poison gas used during the First World War are being deployed on the battlefield, with one soldier suffocating to death

·  Britain ‘Must Invest in Iron Dome as World War Looms’
Ex-US security adviser urges UK to spend 4pc of GDP on defence because ‘it’s a lot cheaper to prevent a war than have a fight’

·  Countering North Korean Cybercrime and Its Enablers
The crackdown on digital platforms that help North Korea launder billions in stolen cryptocurrency has so far achieved only mixed results

·  The Case for Averting War Between Israel and Hisballah
There are several reasons why a massive Israeli military operation designed to eliminate Hizballah might be counterproductive

·  Climate Change and Military Power: Hunting for Submarines in the Warming Ocean
Climate change has significant effects on military power, capabilities, effectiveness, and employment – for example, the range of detection of enemy submarines through underwater acoustics is contracting due to climate change

·  When AI Decides Who Lives and Dies
The Israeli military’s algorithmic targeting has created dangerous new precedents

US Accuses Russia of Using Chemical Weapons Against Ukraine  (Alistair Dawber and Marc Bennetts, The Times)
The United States has accused Russia of using chemical weapons against Ukrainian troops in violation of the international ban on their use.

Britain ‘Must Invest in Iron Dome as World War Looms’  (Gwyn Wright, The Telegraph)
Britain must invest in an Iron Dome defense system, a former US national security adviser said as he warned that another world war was on the horizon.

Countering North Korean Cybercrime and Its Enablers  (Alex O’Neill, Lawfare)
North Korean threat actors have stolen billions of dollars in cryptocurrency over the past decade, generating funds that help the Kim regime finance its nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs and undermine international sanctions, among other malign ends. 

The Case for Averting War Between Israel and Hisballah  (Oren Barak, War on the Rocks)
According to a well-known Jewish proverb, “It is not the mouse that is the thief, but the hole.” In other words, some of the problems we face (mice entering our home) are perhaps more a result of our own actions or lack thereof (plugging the holes in its walls), than of the malign intentions of others. 

Climate Change and Military Power: Hunting for Submarines in the Warming Ocean  (Andrea Gilli et al., Texas National Security Review)
Climate change will have significant effects on military power, capabilities, effectiveness, and employment. Yet, scholars have paid little attention to this topic. We address this gap by investigating the effects of changing ocean conditions on anti-submarine warfare. Anti-submarine warfare capabilities exploit various physical phenomena to detect enemy submarines, principally underwater sound propagation. Underwater sound propagation depends on factors influenced by climate change, such as water temperature and salinity. Through ocean-acoustic simulations, we estimate the effect of climate change on the detection range of enemy submarines in the North Atlantic and in the Western Pacific. Our results show that, in most areas, the range of detection through underwater acoustics is contracting due to climate change.

When AI Decides Who Lives and Dies  (Simon Frankel Pratt, Foreign Policy)
Investigative journalism published in April by Israeli media outlet Local Call (and its English version, +972 Magazine) shows that the Israeli military has established a mass assassination program of unprecedented size, blending algorithmic targeting with a high tolerance for bystander deaths and injuries.