WORLD ROUNDUP – 22-28 JUNE 2025Trump’s Iran Deal Withdrawal Comes Back to Haunt Him | The West Can Re-arm without Re-industrializing | Rwanda, Congo Sign Historic Peace Deal | How to Fix the Cracks in the Nuclear Dam, and more

Published 29 June 2025

MIDDLE EAST

·  Trump’s Iran Deal Withdrawal Comes Back to Haunt Him

·  12 Days of Attacks Later, Could Iran Make an Atomic Bomb?

·  Trump Warns U.S. Will Strike Again if Iran Resumes High-Level Uranium Enrichment

·  Mapping Iran’s Nuclear Program

·  Trump Got This One Right

·  Right Move, Wrong Team

·  How Trump Could Lose This War

·  ‘Everybody Knows Khamenei’s Days Are Numbered’

·  Why a Wider War with Iran Is Unlikely

·  Can Iran Still Build Nuclear Weapons After the U.S. Bombing?

·  Intelligence, Strategy, and the Israeli-Iranian War

·  Conspiracy, Cock-Up or Solution? The Gaza Aid Foundation 

CHINA WATCH

·  A Distracted Washington Is a Win for Beijing

·  Taiwan Is Rushing to Make Its Own Drones Before It’s Too Late

THE LONG VIEW

·  The War in Ukraine Shows the West Can Re-arm without Re-industrializing

·  How Strongmen Mastered the Art of Dividing Europe

·  The Critical Mineral Up and Downstream: Drivers and Stabilizers of US Foreign Policy

·  Africa’s Scary New Age of High-Tech Warfare

·  The Bombing of Iran May Teach an Unwelcome Lesson on Nuclear Weapons

·  How to Fix the Cracks in the Nuclear Dam

MORE PICKS

·  Rwanda, Congo Sign Historic Peace Deal

·  Trump Urges Congress to ‘Kill’ Voice of America as Its Leader Defends Gutting It.

·  Promise of Victory Over H.I.V. Fades as U.S. Withdraws Support

·  Europe’s Growing Fear: How Trump Might Use U.S. Tech Dominance Against It

MIDDLE EAST

Trump’s Iran Deal Withdrawal Comes Back to Haunt Him  (Keith Johnson, Foreign Policy)
Experts say the 2015 nuclear deal constrained Tehran’s nuclear ambitions better than the recent U.S. strikes.

12 Days of Attacks Later, Could Iran Make an Atomic Bomb?  (Agnes Chang, Pablo Robles, Josh Holder, William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, New York Times)
Israel and the United States bombarded Iran in an attempt to eliminate its ability to build a nuclear weapon. Before the attack, U.S. intelligence agencies had assessed that Iran had not decided whether to make a bomb. Since the attack, the debate over Iran’s intentions and capabilities has only intensified.

Mapping Iran’s Nuclear Program  (Economist)
American and Israeli strikes have done clear damage, but uncertainties remain about what has survived.

Trump Warns U.S. Will Strike Again if Iran Resumes High-Level Uranium Enrichment  (Michael Crowley and Jonathan Swan, New York Times)
The president said such an outcome was unlikely, describing Iran as exhausted from the damage it had suffered and eager to speak with the United States.

Trump Got This One Right (Eliot A. Cohen,The Atlantic)
The president has made many poor decisions, but in striking Iran, he acted where his predecessors had failed.

Right Move, Wrong Team  (David Frum, The Atlantic)
The U.S. strikes on Iran might have been necessary, but the manner in which Trump acted should raise alarms about what lies ahead.

How Trump Could Lose This War  (Daniel Byman, Foreign Policy)
U.S. strikes were limited, but the campaign against Iran could still get messy.

‘Everybody Knows Khamenei’s Days Are Numbered’  (Arash Azizi, The Atlantic)
A well-placed group of Iranian insiders considers a future without the supreme leader.

Why a Wider War with Iran Is Unlikely  (Matthew Kroenig, Foreign Policy)
The regime is too weak to escalate or dash to a bomb.

Can Iran Still Build Nuclear Weapons After the U.S. Bombing?  (Richard Spencer and Tom Whipple, The Times)
Somewhere, the country probably possesses enough enriched uranium for nine warheads.Will the ‘bunker-buster’ attack put a stop to its nuclear ambitions?