Israel Fuels Three Emergencies as Its Furious Allies Bail Out | The Realist Case for Global Rules | Africans Are Building Putin’s Suicide Drones | European Trend Report on Terrorism 2025, and more

greatest impact on the institutions that prevail at any given point in time. Realists also stress that because there is no central authority to enforce compliance, states can defy the rules if they wish. But sophisticated realists like Hans Morgenthau, Robert Gilpin, Henry Kissinger, Stephen Krasner, and even John Mearsheimer also emphasize that any system of interdependent states cannot function without a set of rules and that even powerful states will pay a price if they defy existing rules too often or too egregiously.

European Trend Report on Terrorism 2025  (EICTP)
The evolving threat landscape of extremism and terrorism poses a central security policy challenge for European states, demanding a comprehensive and projective strategic analysis. Unlike many conventional trend reports that simply extrapolate past developments into the future, the EICTP European Trend Report on Terrorism 2025 (ETRT) is distinguished by its foundation in strategic foresight methodology. The European Institute for Counter Terrorism and Conflict Prevention (EICTP) utilizes the “SPHEERE” method-a collaborative, software-supported analysis platform-to systematically address these complex issues.

Can Friedrich Merz Save Conservatism?  (John Kampfner, , Foreign Policy)
Germany’s new chancellor is in a race to change Germany so it has a chance to remain the same.

How Poland Can Keep Its Place at the Heart of Europe  (Economist)
If it turns inward, the country and continent will lose out.
Just when Poland should stand proud and tall once more, is it about to throw away its influence?
That is the question Poles face in the decisive run-off vote to elect their president on June 1st. One vision, from the candidate of the Law and Justice (PiS) party, is a brand of right-wing nationalism that feeds off conflict with Poland’s neighbors and the European Union. The other, from the center, is that, in a dangerous world, Poland needs Europe to magnify its strengths, just as Europe needs Poland as a source of security and economic dynamism. Unfortunately, at the moment the right may have the upper hand.

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Trump’s Tariffs and the Stakes of Korea’s Snap Election  (CFR)
On June 3, Korean voters will head to the polls for a snap presidential election. The outcome will reverberate far beyond Korean domestic politics—resetting the strong U.S.-South Korea strategic partnership, recalibrating regional trade, and even redefining how a U.S. president manages its most stalwart allies.
The vote comes amid a period of political crisis triggered by President Yoon Suk Yeol’s short-lived