Reducing Vulnerability to Sea-Level Rise in Virginia

Extensometers are rooted in the bedrock and move with crustal movement but are isolated from seasonal land motion, which allows scientists to measure aquifer system compaction and expansion more directly. 

A study published in 2004 indicated that significant compaction has occurred in the sediment layers above the Potomac aquifer, despite the fact that most of the water is withdrawn directly from the aquifer. To improve understanding of the source of compaction in the Potomac aquifer system, USGS scientists use many different methods, including extensometers, InSAR, geodetic surveys, and monitoring wells (pictured above).  

HRSD has plans to recharge as much as 50 million gallons per day in the first phase of their SWIFT program. Though this doesn’t completely offset actual use, this volume could impact the land subsidence that can be traced back to the overuse of the aquifer. Understanding whether and where aquifer compaction or expansion may be occurring in response to the SWIFT program depends on the precise measurements that the USGS data can provide.  

The USGS co-located an extensometer at the site of HRSD’s SWIFT Research Center in Suffolk, VA. This research center has the capacity to treat and recharge up to 1 million gallons per day and has been operational since 2018. Readings from the nearby USGS extensometer show that it can detect when HRSD withdraws water from the Potomac aquifer (typically done for operational maintenance of the recharge well) and when they recharge the aquifer, so there is reason to believe SWIFT is having an impact on aquifer compaction and expansion.  

Additional USGS data are needed to determine exactly the magnitude and location of the impact, particularly as HRSD’s full-scale SWIFT facilities begin recharging at higher, more beneficial rates beginning in 2026. 

The USGS not only monitors subsidence on the Virginia Coastal Plain, but also partners with several agencies, such as the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality, that monitor falling groundwater levels and the loss of ground elevation. If SWIFT recharge proves effective at mitigating land subsidence in Hampton Roads, then SWIFT could be highlighted as another important tool in combating the observed effects of sea level rise in the region. 

The USGS work along the Virginia Coastal Plain provides agencies, such as the HRSD and the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality, with scientific data they need to inform management decisions that mitigate risks to infrastructure and human and environmental health. This novel work would not be possible without the support and collaboration from HRSD and the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality and may inform scientific and management ideas at similar sites across the US.