Harnessing Science and Technology for Battling Wildfires

Focusing on large, high-impact fires where wild landscapes border urban areas scientists will consider fire management as a holistic and integrated approach that links prevention, response and restoration in a common policy framework. It will place particular emphasis on risk assessment, risk reduction and risk adaptation. ‘To improve fire prevention, a risk assessment will be developed which incorporates several factors that are frequently not considered,’ said Viegas.

This includes the socio-economic, economic and ecological impact of fires such as the value of properties and natural capital like air, water, soil and ecosystem services. Risk reduction will incorporate knowledge on fire occurrence and evolution to better protect communities and minimize the effects of fire on the environment. Risk adaptation will integrate knowledge and models on climate, land use and socio-economic changes to promote more resilient landscapes and communities, enabling them to adapt to the changing fire risk over the next decades.

‘We intend to extend the solutions developed by science and good practices to the pan-European level,’ Viegas added.

Help from Above
Researchers from the S2IGI project are also breaking new ground in wildfire management by developing a software decision support system (DSS) that uses satellite data to predict and manage fires. ‘Firefighter operators face several problems: a lack of reliable early-time fire detection tools, the unpredictability of fires and the behavior of extreme events,’ said Raffaele Bua, project coordinator and software architect at Nurjana Technologies. The DSS is set to change this.

Provided as software as a service, or SaaS, the DSS is available via a web platform offered by the NEWMOS framework and supports the three phases of wildfires: strategic, tactical, and post-event. In the strategic phase, which is forest prevention and mitigation, the system provides users with simulation models and risk probability maps that are useful for preparing for a wildfire event. The tactical phase is when there is an actual wildfire. The system supports the user with weather maps and a flame behavior model. ‘In the post-event phase, which is recovery, the system provides statistics and information on the burned areas, with tools and a map to estimate the economic damage,’ highlighted Bua.

With a 5-minute lag, users are given hotspot early detection information and weather data as well as the ability to run a wildfire simulation showing how the fire would develop over the following hours.

Initially set up to manage wildfires in Sardinia, Italy, the system can be used in other countries. ‘We have tested the technology on an area in Australia by exploiting another satellite, Himawari, for wildfire behavior simulation and detection,’ confirmed Bua. The system has also reached new heights, managing to accurately as well as automatically monitor and detect wildfire hazards from space.

As for its performance and accuracy, the results are more than promising. The online model has achieved a detection performance of 99.904% with a false positive probability of 0.018%. ‘We are confident that the performance will be better with a machine learning model,’ added Bua. The system will be able to compute the best routes for emergency vehicles, track emergency vehicles via GPS sensors and produce daily fire probability maps in the future.

On the Ground
The VALKYRIES project is also pushing limits in research to ensure that first responders can reach those caught in disasters such as wildfires. To do this, researchers will standardize and harmonize technologies and procedures for first aid response in disaster management at the European level. This will include procedures for cross-sector and cross-border cooperation.

The team will design and develop a modular, interoperable, scalable and secure platform to aid deployment of emergency services during disasters like wildfires. ‘The main platform to be developed is SIGRUN: Cognitive communications and resource federation for command and control of first aid responses in mass casualty incidents,’ said Juan-Román Martínez Arranz, project coordinator and project manager at Indra Digital Labs. ‘The combination and interconnection of the harmonized solutions within the project will make up the platform, providing advanced communications, information sharing, and tactical command and control services for first aid responders.’

When a wildfire starts, there is no time to lose. Coordination between different stakeholders is crucial to minimize human and material damages. What role will the platform play? ‘Based on one of the use cases of the project, located between Spain and Portugal, the 112 emergency coordinator center (CCU) in Badajoz, Spain, receives multiple calls about fires in areas near the border between Spain and Portugal,’ explained Martínez. ‘The platform will support the systematic and homogeneous gathering of relevant information to improve every stage of the intervention. In other words, it will generate truthful and real-time information for the first responders’ teams to make informed decisions.’ Thanks to this information, those on the frontline will have a greater understanding of the geolocation of victims, emergency services will be positioned tactically, and further resources and hospitals will be on standby.

While the platform will not be immediately useable in countries outside the EU, its expansion is on the horizon. ‘This is of great interest and would allow for a very desirable intercontinental interoperability when it comes to health emergencies,’ outlined Martínez. In the future, the VALKYRIES solution could be used in other areas such as transport, defense and telecommunications.

Disasters like wildfires are inevitable, but our response to them is not. Researchers are working across borders to prepare and respond, as best we can, to these increasingly severe fire events, ultimately saving lives and minimizing the losses from them.

This article is published courtesy of Horizon, the EU research and innovation magazine.