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Trump’s U.S.‑Iran Ceasefire Deal Is a Costly Return to Prewar Conditions – and Resolving Nuclear Questions Will Run into the ‘Indivisibility Problem’
The Iran war was always likely to end not in a clean settlement but in a series of contested pauses. The deal to be signed on June 19 is the first of them. Iran emerges with its enrichment knowledge intact, its stockpile buried and fresh reason to believe that only a nuclear weapon would have deterred the U.S.-Israel attack.
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The Complications That China’s Build-Up Brings to Nuclear Balance
Any talks between the U.S. and Russia over renewing the expired nuclear arms agreement must soon include China as a nuclear superpower. Other aspects of the global nuclear arms landscape are not getting any simpler, either.
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Why Anthropic Is Sounding the Alarm on the Next Generation of AI
Anthropic is urging its rivals to pursue an unprecedented regime of AI arms control. The explosive advances in the company’s technology illustrate why that effort may be imperative even as it will be difficult to achieve.
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The U.S. Military Is Spending Big on Critical Minerals
Over the past decade, DOD spending for critical minerals transformed from virtually nonexistent into a major spending area. The last five years in particular have seen a dramatic surge in both contracts and dollar value. Indigenous peoples raise the alarm as Pentagon spending on lithium, graphite, and other minerals skyrockets.
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Most Mass Shooters Show Warning Signs Before Attacks: Study
Nearly 86% of mass public shooting perpetrators communicated violent intentions before an attack, but those signals are frequently fragmented across friends, family members, coworkers and institutions, making them difficult to piece together.
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FISA Section 702 Lapsed on Friday—What Now?
Congress was asked to extend, without a warrant requirement, a surveillance program whose compliance record cannot be independently verified, whose oversight bodies have been deliberately disabled, and whose custodians have shown a personal willingness to turn its tools on the press. The program did not go dark on Friday. The real question is whether the House and Senate leadership will finally tell Trump that embracing the Fourth Amendment’s warrant requirement is the only way to end this saga.
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More States Restrict 3D-Printed Firearms
For decades, making an untraceable firearm required specialized tools, technical expertise and hours of work. Today, it can start with a downloaded file and a consumer-grade 3D printer. At least six states this year have outlawed or imposed regulations on such guns.
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Going Dark: Why Dismantling America’s Ocean Sensors Is a Security Risk
Starting this month, the National Science Foundation (NSF) began pulling more than 900 deep-sea instruments out of the water, dismantling most of the Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI), a network of moorings and seafloor sensors that streams continuous, real-time data on the physical, chemical, and biological state of the Atlantic and Pacific. The network was built to run for 25 years. It will not make it to ten. This is a national security story as much as a science story.
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National Security, Terrorism Concerns as FIFA World Cup 2026 Matches Begin in U.S.
As the FIFA World Cup 2026 tournament begins in roughly a dozen U.S. cities this week, law enforcement officials have been implementing national security measures.
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AI-Generated Zero-Day Vulnerabilities: Implications for Future Warfighting
Cybersecurity has long been viewed as a support function, largely focused on protecting military computer networks and information systems. This paradigm is now obsolete. AI is now reshaping the character of warfare itself, turning cybersecurity into a foundational layer of combat power.
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Detroit Is Spending Millions on Gunshot Detection Tech – Is It an Effective Tool in the Fight Against Violent Crime?
We found that of the 5,853 ShotSpotter alerts from the period of February 2018 to November 2022, just two alerts, or 0.03%, resulted in at least one arrest. Additionally, 798 alerts, or 13.63%, resulted in at least one firearm recovered. Those numbers are obviously low.
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From Exporting Spyware to Surveilling Activists – How Democracies Became the New Digital Authoritarians
“Digital authoritarianism” refers to governments using technology for surveillance and censorship to repress dissent. China remains the master practitioner, but democracies, too — in particular, India and Israel — are beginning to repress their citizens with the same tools and export them abroad.
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The Fourth Amendment Forecloses a Foreign Intelligence Exception: A Brief Case Against the FISA Section 702 Program
The House and Senate versions of the extension of Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) lack the only thing that matters: a warrant requirement to search the stored data of Americans collected under the program. In that sense, the 702 program has always been at odds with the plain language of the Fourth Amendment, thanks entirely to the secret court that oversees the semisecret surveillance activity.
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The Challenges of Collaborating with China on Space Research and Technology
China advances its space research and development to the detriment of other countries’ space goals. China’s path to space power has left a trail of disappointed partner nations in its wake, producing lopsided outcomes in which partners assume financial and political risk while ceding control over infrastructure, data, and dual use technologies.
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Why Iran Will Prefer Ongoing Conflict
The key question in the U.S. current standoff with Iran and its regional proxies is not whether hostilities have paused, or whether there are clear prospects for resolving the conflict in the near term, but whether the underlying causes and incentives for conflict have meaningfully changed. In short, they have not. In fact, from Iran’s perspective, there are compelling strategic reasons why a prolonged, though managed, confrontation is more advantageous than a rapid return to peace.
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More headlines
The long view
AI-Generated Zero-Day Vulnerabilities: Implications for Future Warfighting
Cybersecurity has long been viewed as a support function, largely focused on protecting military computer networks and information systems. This paradigm is now obsolete. AI is now reshaping the character of warfare itself, turning cybersecurity into a foundational layer of combat power.
More States Restrict 3D-Printed Firearms
For decades, making an untraceable firearm required specialized tools, technical expertise and hours of work. Today, it can start with a downloaded file and a consumer-grade 3D printer. At least six states this year have outlawed or imposed regulations on such guns.
The U.S. Military Is Spending Big on Critical Minerals
Over the past decade, DOD spending for critical minerals transformed from virtually nonexistent into a major spending area. The last five years in particular have seen a dramatic surge in both contracts and dollar value. Indigenous peoples raise the alarm as Pentagon spending on lithium, graphite, and other minerals skyrockets.
