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IRAN’S NUKESPost-Attack Assessment of the First 12 Days of Israeli and U.S. Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
Israel’s historic Operation Rising Lion and the United States Operation Midnight Hammer have targeted many Iranian nuclear sites, causing massive damage to its nuclear program and setting it back significantly.
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IRAN’S NUKESThe Uncertainty in the Aftermath of the U.S. Bombing in Iran
The U.S. bombing of Iranian nuclear sites Sunday had a concrete strategic objective: thwart Iran’s ability to enrich nuclear material and potentially build nuclear weapons. It was intended to make the world a safer place. At the moment, however, the world remains a dangerous place.
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Quote of the Day
One thing I think that this attack signals is that there’s a big distinction between nuclear and non-nuclear states in that you can do whatever you want to a non-nuclear state. It would be much harder if Iran actually had a nuclear program…. Once you get nuclear weapons, it’s really hard for anybody to come and overturn your regime…. And so there’s going to be all these long-run consequences that aren’t going to be necessarily so pretty, meaning that a lot of countries are going to see this as a signal that they need to get serious about their own separate nuclear deterrence.
— Francis Fukuyama, interviewed by Yascha Mounk, Persuasion, 25 June 1925
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CYBERFEARS, TRUST & DEMOCRACYCyber Attacks Shake Voters’ Trust in Elections, Regardless of Party
American democracy runs on trust, and that trust is cracking. In recent years, authoritarian regimes have refined a chillingly effective strategy to chip away at Americans’ faith in democracy by relentlessly sowing doubt about the tools U.S. states use to conduct elections. It’s a sustained campaign to fracture civic faith and make Americans believe that democracy is rigged, especially when their side loses.
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CRITICAL MINERALSNth Cycle Is Bringing Critical Metals Refining to the U.S.
Much like Middle Eastern oil production in the 1970s, China today dominates the global refinement of critical metals that serve as the foundation of the United States economy. The U.S. needs another technological breakthrough to secure domestic supplies of metals like lithium, cobalt, copper, and rare earth elements, which are needed for everything from batteries to jet engines and electric motors. Nth Cycle thinks it has a solution.
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COASTAL CHALLENGESUneven Land Sinking Across New Orleans Increasing Flood Risk
Parts of New Orleans and its surrounding wetlands are gradually sinking, and while most of the city remains stable, a new study suggests that sections of the region’s $15 billion post-Katrina flood protection system may need regular upgrades to outpace long-term land subsidence.
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DISASTERSNIST Releases Extensive Video Update on Champlain Towers South Investigation
NIST has released an extensive video update on its investigation into the June 2021 partial collapse of the Champlain Towers South building in Surfside, Florida.
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CASCADING HAZARDSHurricane Helene Set Up Future Disasters, from Landslides to Flooding -- Cascading Hazards Like These Are Now Upending Risk Models
Hurricane Helene lasted only a few days in September 2024, but it altered the landscape of the Southeastern U.S. in profound ways that will affect the hazards local residents face far into the future.
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OUR PICKS‘Our Era of Violent Populism’ | RFK’s Loopy Approach to Vaccines Endangers Americans | Microsoft Aided an Adversary’s AI Ambitions, and more
· RFK’s Loopy Approach to Vaccines Endangers Americans
· Harvard Should Prepare to Move Abroad
· Why Nuclear Power Is a Strategic Necessity: Lessons from the Strait of Hormuz
· Microsoft Aided an Adversary’s AI Ambitions
· As Mamdani Rises, Anti-Muslim Attacks Roll in from the Right
· Jewish Caucus Calls for Pentagon Accountability Over Kingsley Wilson’s Antisemitic Remarks
· Europol Report Focusing on IT and Terrorism
· ‘Our Era of Violent Populism’: the US Has Entered a New Phase of Political Violence
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WORLD ROUNDUPTrump’s Iran Deal Withdrawal Comes Back to Haunt Him | Rwanda, Congo Sign Historic Peace Deal | The West Can Re-arm without Re-industrializing, and more
· Trump’s Iran Deal Withdrawal Comes Back to Haunt Him
· 12 Days of Attacks Later, Could Iran Make an Atomic Bomb?
· Trump Warns U.S. Will Strike Again if Iran Resumes High-Level Uranium Enrichment
· Mapping Iran’s Nuclear Program
· The War in Ukraine Shows the West Can Re-arm without Re-industrializing
· How Strongmen Mastered the Art of Dividing Europe
· Rwanda, Congo Sign Historic Peace Deal
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DHSA New Trump Plan Gives DHS and the White House Greater Influence in the Fight Against Organized Crime
The Trump administration has launched a major reorganization of the U.S. fight against drug traffickers and other transnational criminal groups. The overhaul would give new authority to DHS and deepen the influence of the White House.
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DEPORTATIONSIf Trump Wants More Deportations, He’ll Need to Target the Construction Industry
As President Donald Trump sends mixed messages about immigration enforcement, ordering new raids on farms and hotels just days after saying he wouldn’t target those industries, he has hardly mentioned the industry that employs the most immigrant laborers: construction. Almost a quarter of all immigrants without a college degree work in construction.
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TERRORISMBrazil’s Dangerous Flirtation with Counterterrorism
The main conversation about terrorism in Brazil is focused on mistaken efforts to label criminal groups as terrorists. This is dangerous, as the term “terrorism” contains within it a power to dress state repression as a proportionate response to emergency. Brazil should not adopt the term “ counterterrorism,” and all that it implies and permits, to address the very serious – but very separate – problem of organized crime.
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Quote of the Day
“The alleged Minnesota assassin was known as a ‘deeply religious’ Christian man. That should be an alarm bell for all of us.”
— Mona Charen, The Bulwark, 18 June 2025
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CONSPIRACY THEORYOctopus Maps Encourage Conspiratorial Thinking, Research Shows
Octopuses have been one of mapmakers’ favorite symbols for hundreds of years — used primarily to portray threats of political movements, financial systems, warring empires and the unknown.
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SURVEILLANCEPervasive Surveillance of People Is Being Used to Access, Monetize, Coerce, and Control
New research has underlined the surprising extent to which pervasive surveillance of people and their habits is powered by computer vision research – and shone a spotlight on how vulnerable individuals and communities are at risk.
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CHEMICAL EXPLOSIONSTrump Quietly Shutters the Only Federal Agency that Investigates Industrial Chemical Explosions
Hazardous chemical accidents happen in the U.S. about every other day. Who will investigate them now?
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OUR PICKSWhat America Can Learn from Iran’s Failure | Terrorism Means Something Different Now | What Happened to the War Powers Act?, and more
· What America Can Learn from Iran’s Failure
· Terrorism Means Something Different Now
· The Bombing of Iran May Teach an Unwelcome Lesson on Nuclear Weapons
· ‘They’re Not Breathing’: Inside the Chaos of ICE Detention Center 911 Calls
· AI Agents Are Getting Better at Writing Code—and Hacking It as Well
· What Happened to the War Powers Act?
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WORLD ROUNDUPCentral Asian Fighters and Global Jihad | A Distracted Washington Is a Win for Beijing | Africa’s Scary New Age of High-Tech Warfare, and more
· Trump Urges Congress to ‘Kill’ Voice of America as Its Leader Defends Gutting It.
· Promise of Victory Over H.I.V. Fades as U.S. Withdraws Support
· A Distracted Washington Is a Win for Beijing
· Central Asian Fighters and Global Jihad
· The Critical Mineral Up and Downstream: Drivers and Stabilizers of US Foreign Policy
· Africa’s Scary New Age of High-Tech Warfare
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POLITICAL VIOLENCEMinnesota Assassination Prompts Many Lawmakers to Wonder: Is Service Worth the Danger?
More public officials across the country are taking stock of their safety. Nearly 9 in 10 state lawmakers reported facing insults and 4 in 10 facing harassment and threats.
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EXTREMISMWhat is CREC? The Christian Nationalist Group Has a Vision for America − and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s Support
CREC theology includes the belief that the establishment clause of the Constitution does not require a separation of church and state. The CREC broadly asserts that the government and anyone serving in it should be Christian. For Wilson and members of CREC churches, this means Christians and only Christians are qualified to hold political office in the United States.
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QUICK TAKES // By Ben FrankelTargeting Nuclear Scientists
The killing of Iranian nuclear scientists has been an integral part of Israel’s campaign, stretching back more than two decades, to disrupt and derail Iran’s nuclear weapons program. The 14 Iranian scientists killed on and since 13 June were all leading members of the Iran’s nuclear weaponization group.
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More headlines
The long view
ENCRYPTIONEncryption Breakthrough Lays Groundwork for Privacy-Preserving AI Models
In an era where data privacy concerns loom large, a new approach in artificial intelligence (AI) could reshape how sensitive information is processed. New AI framework enables secure neural network computation without sacrificing accuracy.
FOREIGN INTERFERENCEKinetic Operations Bring Authoritarian Violence to Democratic Streets
Foreign interference in democracies has a multifaceted toolkit. In addition to information manipulation, the tactical tools authoritarian actors use to undermine democracy include cyber operations, economic coercion, malign finance, and civil society subversion.
EXTREMISMPatriots’ Day: How Far-Right Groups Hijack History and Patriotic Symbols to Advance Their Cause, According to an Expert on Extremism
Extremist groups have attempted to change the meaning of freedom and liberty embedded in Patriots’ Day — a commemoration of the battles of Lexington and Concord – to serve their far-right rhetoric, recruitment, and radicalization. Understanding how patriotic symbols can be exploited offers important insights into how historical narratives may be manipulated, potentially leading to harmful consequences in American society.
AIAI-Controlled Fighter Jets May Be Closer Than We Think — and Would Change the Face of Warfare
Could we be on the verge of an era where fighter jets take flight without pilots – and are controlled by artificial intelligence (AI)? US R Adm Michael Donnelly recently said that an upcoming combat jet could be the navy’s last one with a pilot in the cockpit.
NUCLEAR SURVIVALWhat We’ve Learned from Survivors of the Atomic Bombs
Q&A with Dr. Preetha Rajaraman, New Vice Chair for the Radiation Effects Research Foundation in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan.
ANTI-VACCINE THREATCombatting the Measles Threat Means Examining the Reasons for Declining Vaccination Rates
Measles was supposedly eradicated in Canada more than a quarter century ago. But today, measles is surging. The cause of this resurgence is declining vaccination rates.
VACCINATIONSocial Networks Are Not Effective at Mobilizing Vaccination Uptake
The persuasive power of social networks is immense, but not limitless. Vaccine preferences, based on the COVID experience in the United States, proved quite insensitive to persuasion, even through friendship networks.
CYBERSECURITYNeed for National Information Clearinghouse for Cybercrime Data, Categorization of Cybercrimes: Report
There is an acute need for the U.S. to address its lack of overall governance and coordination of cybercrime statistics. A new report recommends that relevant federal agencies create or designate a national information clearinghouse to draw information from multiple sources of cybercrime data and establish connections to assist in criminal investigations.
U.S. MANUFACTURINGTrying to “Bring Back” Manufacturing Jobs Is a Fool’s Errand
Advocates of recent populist policies like to focus on the supposed demise of manufacturing that occurred after the 1970s, but that focus is misleading. The populists’ bleak economic narrative ignores the truth that the service sector has always been a major driver of America’s success, for decades, even more so than manufacturing. Trying to “bring back” manufacturing jobs, through harmful tariffs or other industrial policies, is destined to end badly for Americans. It makes about as much sense as trying to “bring back” all those farm jobs we had before the 1870s.
CRITICAL MINERALSThe Potential Impact of Seabed Mining on Critical Mineral Supply Chains and Global Geopolitics
The potential emergence of a seabed mining industry has important ramifications for the diversification of critical mineral supply chains, revenues for developing nations with substantial terrestrial mining sectors, and global geopolitics.
RESILIENCEHelping Strengthen America’s Critical Infrastructure
Everyday life depends on a robust infrastructure network that provides access to running water, communications technology and electricity, among other basic necessities. The experts who keep our national infrastructure secure and resilient also need a strong network to share their knowledge and train the next generation of professionals capable of solving complex infrastructure challenges.
ELECTRIC GRIDAI and the Future of the U.S. Electric Grid
Despite its age, the U.S. electric grid remains one of the great workhorses of modern life. Whether it can maintain that performance over the next few years may determine how well the U.S. competes in an AI-driven world.
ENERGY SECURITYUsing Liquid Air for Grid-Scale Energy Storage
New research finds liquid air energy storage could be the lowest-cost option for ensuring a continuous power supply on a future grid dominated by carbon-free but intermittent sources of electricity.
ENERGY SECURITYEnhanced Geothermal Systems: A Promising Source of Round-the-Clock Energy
With its capacity to provide 24/7 power, many are warming up to the prospect of geothermal energy. Scientists are currently working to advance human-made reservoirs in Earth’s deep subsurface to stimulate the activity that exists within natural geothermal systems.
ENERGY SECURITYExperts Discuss Geothermal Potential
Geothermal energy harnesses the heat from within Earth—the term comes from the Greek words geo (earth) and therme (heat). It is an energy source that has the potential to power all our energy needs for billions of years.
CLIMATE CHALLENGESTrump Aims to Shut Down State Climate Policies
President Donald Trump has launched an all-out legal attack on states’ authority to set climate change policy. Climate-focused state leaders say his administration has no legal basis to unravel their efforts.