Radiation risksRadiation from Fukushima to reach West Coast in April

Published 12 March 2014

On the third anniversary of the Fukushima nuclear plant incident, scientists are reporting that low levels of radiation from the Fukushima plant will reach ocean waters along the U.S. West Coast by April 2014. The scientists say that the radiation will be at levels too low to harm humans, but they call for more monitoring, including at the federal level.

Projected range of radiation-contaminated seawater from Fukushima // Source: noaa.gov

On the third anniversary of the Fukushima nuclear plant incident, scientists are reporting that low levels of radiation from the Fukushima plant will reach ocean waters along the U.S. West Coast by April 2014. Ken Buesseler, a chemical oceanographer at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, says that current models predict that the radiation will be at levels too low to harm humans, but he called for  more monitoring including at the federal level.

USA Today reports that currently, no federal agency samples Pacific Coast seawater for radiation. “I’m not trying to be alarmist,” Buesseler said. “We can make predictions, we can do models. But unless you have results, how will we know it’s safe?”

In July 2013 the Tokyo Electric Power Company, which operates the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, reported that contaminated water stored underground leaked into the ocean.

Scientists have developed  three competing models of the Fukushima radiation plume, proposing different arrival times at the West Coast and different levels of radiation, but all models predict that the plume will reach the West Coast this summer, or as early as April. A report presented last week at a conference of the American Geophysical Union’s Ocean Sciences Section said that Cesium 134 has already arrived in Canada, around the Gulf of Alaska.

Buesseler notes that Cesium 134 serves as the fingerprint for Fukushima. “The models show it will reach north of Seattle first, then move down the coast,” Buesseler said. Washington State does not test its waters for radiation.

Models predict that Cesium 134 will be diluted in the ocean by the time it reaches the California’s coast. Cesium 134 has a half-life of two years, meaning it takes two years to break down into a more stable material. California regularly tests seawater around its nuclear power plants to check whether the plants are endangering the environment, but those results show minimum detectable activity.

Since April 2012, Oregon state park rangers have been analyzing samples of surf water and sand for Cesium 137 and iodine 131 at three coastal locations.  Both  already exist in the ocean at low levels from past nuclear testing. To date, the analysis has shown only  minimal detectable activity. Oregon Health Authority spokesman Jonathan Modie said the most recent samples taken in mid-February will be available in mid-March.

Some scientists are sampling the West Coast seawater without government support. Cal State Long Beach marine biologist Steven Manley launched Kelp Watch 2014 to monitor kelp along the West Coast for Fukushima radiation. Buesseler’s project titled How Radioactive is Our Ocean? will use crowd-sourced funding and volunteers to test water samples along the Pacific Coast.

Though scientists continue to debate the health risk of radioactive material in the environment, it is clear that large amounts of radioactivity exposure can cause vomiting and hair loss, while more serious cases can damage the central nervous system. On whether West Coast residents are at risk, “there’s been a lot of confusion between the levels of radiation that have been detected and levels that are harmful,” Chad Nelsen, environmental director at the San Clemente-based Surfrider Foundation, told U-T San Diego last month regarding Fukushima radiation reaching the U.S.“So far, there have been no levels that are a real concern.”