Independent commission: WMD attack by terrorists likely

Published 2 December 2008

An independent commission of experts, set up by Congress as part of the recommendations by the 9/11 commission, concludes that terrorists will most likely carry out an attack with biological, nuclear, or other unconventional weapons somewhere in the world in the next five years

This cannot be good news: An independent commission has concluded that terrorists will most likely carry out an attack with biological, nuclear, or other unconventional weapons somewhere in the world in the next five years unless the United States and its allies act urgently to prevent that. The New York Times’s Eric Schmitt reports that in a report to be released this week, the Congressionally mandated panel found that with countries like Iran and North Korea pursuing nuclear weapons programs, and with the risk of poorly secured biological pathogens growing, unconventional threats are fast outpacing the defenses arrayed to confront them. “America’s margin of safety is shrinking, not growing,” the bipartisan panel concluded.

The report was prepared before last week’s terrorist attacks in Mumbai — attacks American officials say were most likely carried out by Pakistani militant groups based in Kashmir — but it, too, singled out Pakistan as a top security priority for the coming Obama administration. “Were one to map terrorism and weapons of mass destruction today, all roads would intersect in Pakistan,” the report states, citing the country’s terrorist haven along the border with Afghanistan and its tense relations with nuclear rival India. “Pakistan is an ally, but there is a grave danger it could also be an unwitting source of a terrorist attack on the United States — possibly with weapons of mass destruction,” the report said.

The report is the result of a six-month study by the Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism, which Congress created last spring in keeping with one of the recommendations of the 9/11 Commission.