No end in sight for Moore's Law

Published 10 December 2008

Moore’s Law lives! Worries that reduction in transistor size to below ~20 nm would create heating and quantum effects so severe that such transistors will not be of practical use (read: an end to Moore’s Law) are misplaced; researchers show the Moore’s Law will obtain for a while yet

If you were losing sleep over the question of whether Moore’s Law will continue to obtain, you may now sleep more easily. The reason: The fast pace of growing computing power could be sustained for many years to come thanks to new research from the U.K.’s National Physical Laboratory (NPL) which is applying advanced techniques to magnetic semiconductors.

Moore’s Law observed that the density of transistors on an integrated circuit doubles every two years. Components have shrunk over time to achieve this, but experts believed that when the characteristic transistor size reduces below ~20 nm, heating and quantum effects will become so severe that they will not be of practical use.

In a paper published in Nano Letters, though, researchers at NPL looked at solutions to this problem as part of a project dealing with magnetic phenomena at reduced dimensions. In the paper NPL’s scientists reported on their research on single crystalline Mn-doped Ge nanowires that display ferromagnetism above 300 K and a superior performance with respect to the hole mobility of around 340 cm2/Vs and other industrially relevant parameters, demonstrating the potential of using these nanowires as building blocks for electronic devices.
Senior Research Scientist at NPL Dr. Olga Kazakova said:

The solution lies in changing not only the material but also the structure of our transistors. We have worked mainly with germanium nanowires that we have made magnetic. Magnetic semiconductors don’t exist in nature, so they have to be artificially engineered. Germanium is closely compatible with silicon, meaning it can easily be used with existing silicon electronics without further redesign. The resulting transistors based on NPL’s germanium nanowire technology, which could revolutionize computing and electronic devices, could realistically be 10 years away.

-read more in Machteld I. van der Meulen et al., “Single Crystalline Ge1-xMnx Nanowires as Building Blocks for Nanoelectronics,” Nano Letters (25 November 2008)