WORLD ROUNDUPWhy China Is Not a Superpower | Innovation Power | Mexico’s Dying Democracy, and more

Published 2 March 2023

·  MI5 to Face Criticism Over “Significant Missed Opportunities” to Stop May 2017 Manchester Terror Attack
Suicide bomber killed 22 people outside an Ariana Grande concert

·  Why China Is Not a Superpower
How the United States, China, and the former Soviet Union stack up

·  Why Israel’s Establishment Is Revolting
Israel is gripped by a divisive struggle over its future

·  Innovation Power
Why technology will define the future of geopolitics

·  Mexico’s Dying Democracy
AMLO and the toll of authoritarian populism

·  Security Experts Discuss Rising Extremist Violence in Africa
Violent extremism in Africa is on the rise, particularly in the Sahel region

·  Alleged Patriotic Alternative Member Admits Terror Charges
Fitness guru for the Patriotic Alternative shared a stash of terrorist documents on social media

·  Few Hopes for Major Change After Nigeria’s Disputed Election
The best Washington can hope for is Abuja’s more active engagement in regional diplomacy

·  America Should Follow Israel’s Lead on Iran
Israel’s strategy is to directly confront, roll back, and deter Iran’s military expansionism

MI5 to Face Criticism Over “Significant Missed Opportunities” to Stop May 2017 Manchester Terror Attack  (Jack Hardy and Neil Johnston, The Telegraph)
Judge-led investigation into the bombing, which killed 22 people and injured more than a thousand, will publish its final report on Thursday.

Why China Is Not a Superpower  (Jo Inge Bekkevold, Foreign Policy)
China’s growing power is the single most influential driver of geopolitical change today. Notwithstanding Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine, the United States has clearly identified China as its number one challenge. In June 2022, for the first time ever, NATO included China in its Strategic Concept, signaling a radical shift in the bloc’s security outlook.
But how mighty is China really? Measuring and comparing power between nations and across time is an imprecise exercise at best. Nonetheless, we can gain valuable information about China’s current power position if we compare it to the contemporary United States and Cold War-era Soviet Union—and consider three important concepts: polarity, hegemony, and the original definition of a superpower.
Such a comparison reveals that the United States is a pole, regional hegemon, and superpower. The Soviet Union was a pole and a superpower—but did not have regional hegemony. And although China is a pole in what is now a bipolar U.S.-China system, it is neither a regional hegemon nor a superpower. While these categorizations might read like abstract nuances in a scholarly debate, they actually have major, concrete implications for strategy and policy in the 21st century.

Why Israel’s Establishment Is Revolting  (David E. Rosenberg, Foreign Policy)
Centrist Israelis ignored the occupation and settlements for years, but they are up in arms about judicial reforms that threaten the economy—and their self-image.

Innovation Power  (Eric Schmidt, Foreign Affairs)
When Russian forces marched on Kyiv in February 2022, few thought Ukraine could survive. Russia had more than twice as many soldiers as Ukraine. Its military budget was more than ten times as large. The U.S. intelligence community estimated that Kyiv would fall within one to two weeks at most. (Cont.)